Yes.
Across the precincts that cluster around Arizona State University’s Tempe campus, the Republican share of the two-party presidential vote shifted by roughly 5 percentage points from 2016 to 2024, according to an AZCIR analysis of election data.
That shift came as Republican voter registration in Maricopa County, which includes Tempe, increased by nearly 150,000, or about 20%, over that same period. More registered Republicans didn’t translate into a bigger share of the vote. The party’s portion of ballots cast stayed roughly the same at 35%.
The same pattern played out statewide. Republican voter registration grew by about 19% from 2016 to 2024, yet its voting share slipped slightly. At the same time, Democratic voter registration grew by 15%, with its voting share slipping more noticeably from 34% to 32%.
This fact brief is responsive to conversations such as this one.
The Arizona Center for Investigative Reporting partners with Gigafact to produce fact briefs, or quick-response fact checks, about trending claims relating to Arizona.
Sources
- Redistricting Data Hub, Statewide Data Downloads (Arizona)
- AZCIR, Analysis of election data by precincts surrounding ASU Tempe campus
- Maricopa County, Interactive Elections Map ArGIS Web Application
- Arizona Secretary of State, 2016 Voter Registration General Election Maricopa County
- Arizona Secretary of State, 2024 Voter Registration General Election Maricopa County
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The Arizona Center for Investigative Reporting is partnering with Gigafact to produce timely fact briefs, or quick-response fact checks, about trending claims relating to Arizona.
